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  • Understanding the drivers of forest losses and their economic implications is key to designing efficient climate policies. This study simulates market-driven land-use decisions to identify the factors contributing to forest losses, revealing such losses, their trends, temporal variation and social value.

    • Thomas Knoke
    • Nick Hanley
    • Carola Paul
    ArticleOpen Access
  • The Rotterdam Convention addresses the international trade of hazardous chemicals, but its effectiveness is rarely evaluated. This study analyses international trade flows of highly hazardous chemicals covered by the Convention, revealing that large-scale illegal trade continues to have disastrous impacts.

    • Hongyan Zou
    • Tao Wang
    • Zhanyun Wang
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Exposure to wildfires is increasing across the continental United States. These risks are growing not only for populations living at the wildland–urban interface but also for critical infrastructure, such as roads and transmission lines.

    • Arash Modaresi Rad
    • John T. Abatzoglou
    • Mojtaba Sadegh
    Article
  • Energy efficient brick production is crucial for the carbon footprint, especially in countries with a continuously expanding built environment. This study models Indian brick production and reveals a large underreporting in official energy consumption estimates, as well as key drivers affecting its performance.

    • Kushal Tibrewal
    • Chandra Venkataraman
    • Baerbel Sinha
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Global aquatic foods are a key source of nutrition, but how their production is influenced by anthropogenic environmental changes is not well known. The vulnerability of global blue food systems to main environmental stressors and the related spatial impacts across blue food nations are now quantified.

    • Ling Cao
    • Benjamin S. Halpern
    • Michelle Tigchelaar
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Whether or not marine protected areas (MPAs) deliver positive outcomes for both people and nature remains a challenging question. Using a statistical matching approach, this study provides quantitative evidence of co-benefits for fish and people associated with MPAs in the Mesoamerican region.

    • A. Justin Nowakowski
    • Steven W. J. Canty
    • Melanie McField
    Article
  • Current understanding of how the cropland nitrogen cycle will respond to elevated atmospheric CO2 is limited. By modelling global nitrogen budgets under elevated CO2 and providing a monetized impact assessment, this study shows the synergistic effects of elevated CO2 alone on global croplands.

    • Jinglan Cui
    • Xiuming Zhang
    • Baojing Gu
    Article
  • Chemical upcycling of polyolefin plastic waste over metal-based catalysts is crucial for the circular economy, but currently available methods are incompatible with chlorine-contaminated feedstocks. Here the authors propose a two-stage dechlorination–hydrogenolysis (or hydrocracking) upcycling strategy to tackle this problem.

    • Pavel A. Kots
    • Brandon C. Vance
    • Dionisios G. Vlachos
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Current models, based on incremental changes in a single stress, have limited ability to anticipate abrupt ecosystem changes due to climate and human activities. Experiments on four models simulating ecosystems with a range of anthropogenic interactions show how much earlier abrupt change can happen.

    • Simon Willcock
    • Gregory S. Cooper
    • John A. Dearing
    ArticleOpen Access
  • A more in-depth understanding of the link between biodiversity and human well-being can help the design of nature-based public health interventions. This study analyses a database of species’ effect traits (colours, sounds and smells) and the diverse well-being responses that they generate.

    • J. C. Fisher
    • M. Dallimer
    • Z. G. Davies
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Food production stability depends on yield, and planted and harvested areas, but most research has only studied yield response to climate. This study finds that planted area and harvestable fraction contribute substantially to US crop production shocks, emphasizing their key role in food system stability.

    • Dongyang Wei
    • Jessica A. Gephart
    • Kyle Frankel Davis
    Article
  • Despite fishing-induced biomass depletion on coral reefs, fisheries persist. This study presents a framework to evaluate potential reef fisheries productivity across a major fishing pressure gradient and shows evidence of compensatory ecological responses triggered by fishing on coral reefs.

    • Renato A. Morais
    • Patrick Smallhorn-West
    • David R. Bellwood
    Article
  • Some countries are disproportionately responsible for climate change damages and should compensate those remaining within fair shares of the 1.5 °C carbon budget. This study presents a procedure to quantify the level of compensation owed in a ‘net zero’ scenario where all countries decarbonize by 2050.

    • Andrew L. Fanning
    • Jason Hickel
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Natural resource extraction often involves violence against environmental defenders, but threats to women defenders tend to be poorly documented. This study analyses displacement, repression, criminalization, violent targeting and assassinations of women environmental defenders worldwide.

    • Dalena Tran
    • Ksenija Hanaček
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Blue carbon ecosystems, such as seagrass meadows and mangrove forests, provide myriad ecosystem services and their restoration has gained global attention. Via enhanced ocean alkalinity, restoring these ecosystems can also promote durable carbon dioxide removal from the atmosphere.

    • Mojtaba Fakhraee
    • Noah J. Planavsky
    • Christopher T. Reinhard
    ArticleOpen Access
  • Although key to reducing transport greenhouse gas emissions, not much is known about city-level policies globally. With a spatially explicit monocentric urban economic model, this study analyses the impact of four representative policies to mitigate transport greenhouse gas emissions across 120 cities worldwide.

    • Charlotte Liotta
    • Vincent Viguié
    • Felix Creutzig
    Article
  • Rising costs have recently reduced local governments’ efforts to collect recyclables from households, but this study shows that kerb-side recycling should be reconsidered as it can reduce greenhouse gas emissions and be a very cost-effective climate change mitigation strategy.

    • Malak Anshassi
    • Timothy G. Townsend
    Article
  • As an alternative to monetary estimates, this study expresses the costs of climate change in terms of numbers of people left outside the ‘human climate niche’, which reflects the historically highly conserved distribution of human population density relative to mean annual temperature.

    • Timothy M. Lenton
    • Chi Xu
    • Marten Scheffer
    ArticleOpen Access