Introduction

Between 50 and 35 thousand years ago, local Western Eurasian populations were progressively replaced by modern humans (Homo sapiens) originally stemming from the African continent. Europe at this time was characterised by a kaleidoscope of cultural entities, which exhibited a variety of stone tool production modes, ornamental practices, and hunting strategies, reflecting diverse techno-cultural approaches to interacting with the environment. There are four main groups: the Mousterian technocomplexes, generally attributed to Neanderthals; the so-called “transitional industries”, for several decades all attributed to the last Neanderthals1 (Châtelperronian in France, Uluzzian in Italy and Greece, Szeletian in Czech Republic and Hungary, and Lincombian-Ranisian-Jerzmanowician (LRJ) in southern UK, Belgium, Germany and Poland); the Initial Upper Palaeolithic (IUP—in Bulgaria and Moravia), recently linked with modern humans; and, from ~4 to 40 ka cal BP, the Aurignacian technocomplexes (Protoaurignacian and Early Aurignacian), considered a reliable proxy for the presence of H. sapiens2,3,4. Most of these technocomplexes exist in the Italian Peninsula, hence the region plays a crucial role, with numerous archaeological sites with key stratigraphic sequences documenting the period.

Over the last decade, many dates have been obtained from Italian sites that solidify the general temporal picture of the region. Previous determinations were dominated by results that significantly underestimated their real age5,6. Despite this progress, several questions remain open which could be answered with improved chronometric modelling. One of the most pressing is the issue of the chronological spread of the Uluzzian in relation to preceding Mousterian occupations and the possibility of regional variations in its earlier occurrence. Did the Uluzzian groups colonise territories already empty, or did they come in direct contact with previous inhabitants? Is it possible that their appearance was broadly contemporaneous across the greater region in which it has been identified? Given that the start of the Uluzzian can be seen as the end of Mousterian populations at a specific site, it becomes crucial to document the start and chronological extent of this technocomplex at a regional scale. Another intriguing question is concerned with the apparently rapid disappearance of the Uluzzian in the archaeological record and its relationships with the emergence of the Aurignacian: are we dealing with a mere replacement of one group by another, as suggested by the stratigraphic evidence at certain sites? Or, are we seeing a rapid integration between the previous occupants and the newcomers, as it seems to be hinted at in the lithic industries of the last Uluzzian groups in sites such as Grotta del Cavallo and Grotta della Cala? Exploring the question of the Aurignacian, and especially its earliest phase, the Protoaurignacian, may provide insights into clarifying this issue.

In this paper, we present 105 radiocarbon and luminescence age determinations obtained from four key archaeological sequences in southern Italy that have the potential to resolve these questions. The sites include Grotta del Cavallo, Grotta di Castelcivita, Grotta della Cala and Riparo l’Oscurusciuto. We aim to (1) obtain a reliable regional framework of the final presence of the Mousterian, of the arrival/demise of the Uluzzian and of the arrival of the Aurignacian in southern Italy; (2) test whether the integration of chronological and stratigraphic data could suggest or exclude possible interactions between Mousterian/Uluzzian and Uluzzian/Aurignacian in central-southern Italy; and (3) make inferences at a supra-regional scale regarding the dispersal times and routes of H. sapiens throughout the peninsula, making direct comparisons between northern and southern Italy.

Recent work has significantly improved our understanding of the variability present in archaeological technocomplexes in Italy and this has helped considerably in understanding the processes underlying the Middle to Upper Palaeolithic transition. The final stage of the Mousterian in the Italian Peninsula is primarily characterised by Levallois and discoid production methods, which involve careful preparation of the core to obtain flakes, elongated blanks, blades, and, occasionally, bladelets. The shift towards more laminar and even lamellar production is a trend mirrored across Europe7,8. During the Mousterian, local raw material sources were favoured7 and symbolic behaviour was generally absent (Fig. 1). The early phases of the Aurignacian in Italy are characterised by both the so-called Proto and Early cultural variants, found consistently in chronostratigraphic succession. Both variants exhibit systematic bladelet production. In the Protoaurignacian, bladelets were derived from the reduction of platform cores, while in the Early Aurignacian a notable increase in the utilisation of carinated cores, likely associated with increased mobility among hunter-gatherers9, is observed. Bladelets were probably employed as inserts in mechanically delivered projectiles10 and, in the Protoaurignacian, they were frequently modified through marginal retouching11. Polished bone tools, personal ornaments and the use of colouring substances are extensively documented during the Italian Aurignacian12 (Fig. 1) along with several objects of portable art (e.g., ref. 13).

Fig. 1: Schematic example of the cultural evidence characterising the Late Mousterian, the Uluzzian and the Aurignacian in southern Italy.
figure 1

Mousterian: Levallois core (1); Levallois points (2–3 and 6–9) and side-scrapers (4–5) from Oscurusciuto. Uluzzian: bipolar core (10), bipolar blade (11), refitting (12) and lunates from Cavallo (13–14) and Castelcivita (15); bone tools from Cavallo (16-17), Castelcivita (18–19) and Cala (20); Antalis vulgaris (21), Homalopoma sanguineum (22) and Glycimeris nummaria (23) from Castelcivita; Columbella rustica (24), Tritia neritea (25) and Antalis sp. (26) from Cavallo. Aurignacian: prismatic core (27) and bladelet production (28) from the Protoaurignacian of Castelcivita; Bone tools (29-30) from the Aurignacian of La Cala; Homalopoma sanguineum (31), Tritia incrassata (32), Trivia mediterranea (33), Tritia mutabilis (34), Gibbula ardens (35) from the Aurignacian of La Cala and a fragment of Pecten jacobaeus (36) from the Protoaurignacian of Castelcivita; prismatic core (carinated end scraper) (37) and bladelet production (38) from the Early Aurignacian of Castelcivita; Bone tool (39) from the Early Aurignacian of Castelcivita; Homalopoma sanguineum (40), Clanculus corallinus (41), Glycimeris nummaria (42), Tritia mutabilis (43) and Columbella rustica (44) from the Early Aurignacian of Castelcivita. The lithic and bone tools are scaled to each other, while the ornaments are on a different scale. The taxonomic attribution of shells is from Tassoni and see Ref. 98.

Prior to 2011, the Uluzzian was a transitional group of assemblages found at several sites, and linked with Neanderthals, mostly due to an alleged similarity with the Châtelperronian. The reanalysis in 2011 of two deciduous human teeth recovered in 1964 at Grotta del Cavallo (southern Italy), the site in which the Uluzzian was initially described14, suggested that the teeth belonged to modern humans15, dating at ~45–43 ka cal BP (thousand years before present). This, in turn, meant that H. sapiens were present in Europe at least as early as this (at the time, the Grotta del Cavallo dates were the earliest dates associated with modern humans in Europe). Since then, the presence of even earlier occurrences of H. sapiens at Bacho Kiro16 and Grotte Mandrin17, in association with IUP industries, has shown that H. sapiens were present in Europe even before the Uluzzian.

Recent work has shown the closer behavioural affinity of the Uluzzian with the Upper Palaeolithic than with Mousterian human groups (Fig. 1) due to important differences in subsistence strategies, including the use of mechanically delivered weapons (use of bow and/or spear thrower), the significant role played by personal ornaments and colouring substances, as well as the systematic production of polished bone tools. In addition, a distinctive feature of the Uluzzian lies in the fact that it consists of a flake-bladelet-based industry with a predominant use of bipolar knapping on anvil, a production system conceptually very different from those in use in the Mousterian7,18,19,20,21,22,23,24,25,26.

The re-evaluation of the Uluzzian, besides overturning the previous attribution of the technocomplex to Neanderthals (although see ref. 27 for an alternative view), raised doubts regarding the attribution of the remaining “transitional” assemblages to Neanderthals. Mylopotamitaki et al.28 demonstrated recently that the LRJ technocomplex at the site of Ranis-Ilsenhöhle was probably produced by H. sapiens too, confirming the suspicions of other researchers29. Finally, some scholars have posited that the Châtelperronian technocomplex could also be linked with H. sapiens, as its industry displays Upper Palaeolithic-like techno-typological characteristics rather than reflecting previous Mousterian traditions30,31. Hence, the concept of “transitional industries”, conventionally positioned at the middle to upper Palaeolithic boundary, and indeed the very term “transitional”, are becoming increasingly questioned and progressively losing their relevance and meaning due to the absence of any direct filiation from the preceding Mousterian industries.

Stratigraphically, the Uluzzian is always found above the Mousterian, and a sedimentological unconformity is present in most cases between the two7. In Italy, sites are located in the north-eastern (Grotta di Fumane and Riparo Broion32), in the central (Grotta La Fabbrica, Tuscany, and Colle Rotondo, Latium33,34) and especially in the southern part of the peninsula, where the most important stratigraphic sequences occur (e.g., Grotta del Cavallo, Grotta Riparo di Uluzzo C, Grotta di Serra Cicora, Grotta Mario Bernardini, Grotta della Cala, Grotta di Castelcivita and Grotta Roccia San Sebastiano24). In central-southern Italy, the earliest phases of the Aurignacian were identified in some of the above-mentioned Uluzzian sites (Grotta la Fabbrica, Grotta di Serra Cicora, Grotta della Cala and Grotta di Castelcivita) where they consistently overly the Uluzzian occupation very often with a stratigraphic discontinuity (e.g., sterile sediments, sedimentological hiatus, erosional event) in between (Fig. 2). In certain northern Italian sites, such as Riparo Mochi and Riparo Bombrini, where the Uluzzian is absent, a stratigraphic hiatus is also observed. This hiatus is marked by an erosive event, creating a clear division between the Late Mousterian and the subsequent Protoaurignacian layers3,7. The four sites we investigate in this work are all found in the central-southern regions of Italy.

Fig. 2: Map of the Italian Peninsula showing the location of the Italian sites considered in this paper.
figure 2

1) Grotta del Cavallo; 2) Riparo L’Oscurusciuto; 3) Grotta di Castelcivita; 4) Grotta della Cala; 5) Grotta di Rio Secco; 6) Riparo del Broion; 7) Grotta di Fumane; 8) Riparo Bombrini; 9) Riparo Mochi; 10) Grotta della Fabbrica; 11) Colle Rotondo; 12) Grotta Reali; 13) Roccia San Sebastiano; 14) Grotta di Serra Cicora; 15) Grotta di Uluzzo C; 16) Grotta Mario Bernardini. Sources of the basemap: Esri, HERE, DeLorme, TomTom, Intermap increment P Corp., GEBCO, USGS, FAO, NPS, NRCAN, GeoBase, IGN, et al. The map was generated using ArcGIS®10.8.

Grotta del Cavallo, hereafter referred to as Cavallo, contains a deep 7m-thick archaeological sequence that encompasses the Middle Palaeolithic (layers N-F), the Uluzzian (layers E-D), the final Upper Palaeolithic (layer B Romanellian), and the Neolithic (layer A)35. The Uluzzian sequence, divided into three main cultural phases (layer EIII archaic, layers EII-I evolved, and layer D final), sits between two tephra layers, termed Fa (below) and CII (above) (Supplementary Fig. 1). Layer Fa has been attributed to the Y-6 tephra (Green Tuff of Pantelleria Island) dated to 45.5 ± 1.0 ka36, while CII has been identified as the Y-5 eruption (Campanian Ignimbrite) dated to 39.85 ± 0.14 ka37. The association between Late Mousterian/Neanderthals has been confirmed by the occurrence of Neanderthal human remains in layer FII38.

Grotta di Castelcivita, hereafter referred to as Castelcivita, is in the Cilento region and covers the entirety of the Middle to Upper Palaeolithic transition (Late Mousterian, Uluzzian, Protoaurignacian and Early Aurignacian). The lowermost Mousterian layer (cgr) was previously radiocarbon dated at 39,000 ± 1300 and 42,700 ± 900 BP, but it was accepted that these ages were likely to be significant underestimates. A date of 36,120 ± 360 BP was obtained for the uppermost Uluzzian layer rsa”39,40. The anthropogenic sequence is sealed at its top by a multilayered flowstone in which volcanic layers attributable to the Y-5 (Campanian Ignimbrite) eruption lie interbedded. A sedimentological unconformity is present between the last Mousterian and the initial Uluzzian occupation (Supplementary Fig. 2).

Grotta della Cala, hereafter referred to as Cala, is a coastal site also in the Cilento region. Two main areas were excavated: the first a trench of ~12 m2 and ~3 m-deep, located in the middle of the cave and named “internal series”. The second, 28 m2 in size, is close to the cave entrance and is known as the “atrium series”. The whole archaeological succession of Cala covers a period of ca. 70 ka, from the Mousterian to the Bronze age, including a critical and detailed Upper Palaeolithic series starting with the Uluzzian and the Aurignacian41. A change in sedimentation is visible between the Mousterian and the Uluzzian, and the Uluzzian and Aurignacian (Supplementary Fig. 3). In the atrium, previous dates from the Cala Aurignacian, Uluzzian and Mousterian layers have been surprisingly at odds with the pattern established at other sites, with radiocarbon dates much more recent than expected. A part was obtained in the 1970s by the Florence Radiocarbon Laboratory42 and others in the 1990s by the Oxford Radiocarbon Accelerator Unit (ORAU)43. All determinations were obtained on charcoal or burnt bone and were substantially too young for their contexts. We attribute this to the ill-advised selection of burnt bone, which is known to often underestimate the real age, and to the lack of robust pretreatment for the charcoal samples. We consider these results best left out of discussion of the site chronology.

Riparo l’Oscurusciuto, also named Oscurusciuto, is a sheltered site located in the ravine of Ginosa at about 20 km from the present-day Ionian coastline. The site preserves a deposit about 6 m-thick located at the bottom of a steep rock wall, containing evidence for several Mousterian layers44,45,46. In the excavated part, a Mousterian living floor (stratigraphic unit 15) sealed by a volcanic eruption dated at 55 ± 2 ka (Mount Epomeo Green Tuff—stratigraphic unit 1447,48 has been revealed (Supplementary Fig. 4). The overlying stratigraphic units have yielded an almost continuous Mousterian occupation ending at ~40–42 ka cal. BP (at 95.4% probability), according to the only radiocarbon date available at the base of stratigraphic unit 149. In the uppermost stratigraphic units (4–1), the excavated area is highly reduced due to erosive processes.

Results

Radiocarbon dating

Radiocarbon determinations from Castelcivita, Cavallo, Cala and Oscurusciuto are reported in Tables 14, respectively. Analytical data associated with the radiocarbon AMS dates from the first three sites is given in the Supplementary Information (Supplementary Data 24). At Castelcivita, the application of %nitrogen analysis yielded a total of 19 samples of bone of which 16 produced acceptable collagen yields (Supplementary Data 1). Six of the bone AMS determinations later obtained were proportionally low in collagen (<1% wt.). These were given OxA-X- prefixes to alert the reader that their pretreatment chemistry was not ideal. We also AMS dated two fractions of one bone from spit 12 (Uluzzian rpi, G13II, lower 12), which were prepared using ultrafiltration and with the single amino acid hydroxyproline (HYP)50. The statistical similarity between the two suggests that there is likely to be no significant contamination in the bulk bone collagen, although more comparisons would be needed if we were to extend this conclusion with confidence across all the bulk collagen dates.

Table 1 Radiocarbon analytical data AMS dates for the site of Castelcivita
Table 2 Radiocarbon dates from the site of Grotta del Cavallo
Table 3 Radiocarbon AMS dates from the site of Cala, along with details of samples that failed to be AMS dated
Table 4 AMS radiocarbon dates from Oscurusciuto

Luminescence dating

The contexts of the luminescence ages are shown in Table 5 and the results in Table 6. At Castelcivita, all the age determinations are consistent with the depth and seem to cover only a few thousand years. The samples from the Mousterian layers gave similar ages at 48.6 ± 3.3 ka (CTC_X7030_SB13) and 47.0 ± 3.7 ka (CTC_X7030_SB12). The layer (rsi spit 18) at the boundary between the Mousterian and the Uluzzian (rsi spit 18) gave an age of 39.2 ± 3.1 ka (CTC_X7028_SB11). Three determinations for the Uluzzian layers range from 41.8 ± 2.4 ka, 39.5 ± 3.5 ka, and 37.9 ± 2.9 ka. The layer at the boundary between the Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian gave a result at 42.4 ± 2.8 ka, which remains coherent with the rest of the sequence at one sigma error. The following Proto- and Early Aurignacian layers gave three determinations at 42.4 ± 3.7 ka, 38.9 ± 2.9 ka and 36.7 ± 3.3 ka.

Table 5 Sample identifications and context details of the sediments OSL dated
Table 6 OSL measurements, doses and ages of the sediment samples from Castelcivita, Grotta della Cala and Oscurusciuto

At Cala, all the age determinations are consistent with depth at one sigma. The five determinations from the Mousterian layers range from 74.9 ± 8.8 ka to 50.7 ± 5.5 ka. Four determinations from the Uluzzian layers range from 44.0 ± 4.4 ka to 40.2 ± 3.4 ka. One determination was obtained from the Aurignacian layer 36.6 ± 2.4 ka.

At the base of the Oscurusciuto excavated sequence, a tephra layer that has not been identified gave an age estimation of 66.0 ± 4.4 ka. Stratigraphic units 26, 24, and 19 gave age determinations at 66.8 ± 4.4 ka, 60.6 ± 3.3 ka, and 56.5 ± 4.4 ka, respectively. Stratigraphic unit 13 was dated at 66.6 ± 3.7 ka, coherent with the rest of the sequence at two sigma. In the subsequent stratigraphic units, the age determinations are coherent at one sigma and range from 52.0 ± 3.7 ka (stratigraphic unit 11) to 38.0 ± 2.3 ka (stratigraphic unit 3). The uppermost sample, in stratigraphic unit 2, gave a result of 39.8 ± 2.3 ka.

Bayesian modelling

We built Bayesian models with the chronometric results for each site with OxCal 4.4 software51 and the IntCal20 and Marine20 calibration curves52,53 (see Supplementary Note 3 for methodological details).

The Bayesian model built for Castelcivita appears robust with few outliers (Fig. 3). All posterior outlier probabilities ranged between 4 and 10%. Convergence values averaged 98.9%. We were not able to confidently date the beginning of human occupation at the site due to the failure of samples at the base of the Mousterian to yield enough dateable carbon. The start of spit 24 (the earliest dated section of the site) is the earliest dated level and this ranges in age between 47,800—44,000 years cal BP (all ranges are given at 95% probability). The latest Mousterian is associated with spit 19 and a phase of semi-abandonment of the cave by humans from spit 18 up until the onset of the Uluzzian. Only 8 tools were identified within this spit. We obtained the highest posterior density (HPD) range of 43,850—43,070 years cal BP for the final Mousterian boundary.

Fig. 3: Bayesian age model from the site of Castelcivita.
figure 3

The model is made up of a Sequence of Phases in OxCal4.4.3. The Supplementary Code 1 attached to this paper contains the CQL code for all models. Radiocarbon determinations are given in fraction Modern (fM) (R_F14C notation in OxCal). N X- prefixed data are OSL dates with only random error terms included. C_Date denotes a Calendar Age and corresponds with the age of the CI Tephra. Duplicate measurements are combined using the R_Combine command. Outliers are shown in the figure in the form (O: posterior/prior). There are no significant outliers in this model. Note that Taglio refers to Spits (see text for details).

The onset of the Uluzzian is estimated to start at 43,540—42,840 cal BP. With the end of spit 11, we observe the initial stage of the Aurignacian, the Protoaurignacian, as the Uluzzian gives way. Radiocarbon dates from here cluster tightly together, and the model estimates a posteriori range of 40,400—39,850 cal BP. The Aurignacian layers are capped by a series of flowstones containing interbedded tephra from the Campanian Ignimbrite (or Y-5 in the marine environment) eruption. Prior to this, in the sediment immediately preceding the CI, we obtained four OSL dates in sequence from spits 10, 9 (upper) (ProtoAurignacian), 6 (upper), and 4 (lower) (Early Aurignacian), which are entirely consistent with the ages below and with ages ascribed to the CI. An AMS determination from a fireplace in the Early Aurignacian gic phase is in excellent agreement with the OSL dates. With the deposition of the tephra, the Aurignacian sequence ends, along with this period of human occupation of the cave. Figure 4 shows the key boundaries in the Castelcivita model compared against the NGRIP δ18O curve54.

Fig. 4: The key boundaries from the Castelcivita age model.
figure 4

The CI marks the age of the Campanian Ignimbrite tephra, based on the Ar-Ar age of Giaccio et al. (2017). The NGRIP oxygen isotope record is included for tentative comparison (Svensson et al., 2008).

The Cavallo age model includes shell determinations obtained previously15,40,55, as well as new radiocarbon determinations on charcoal and bone from the key early Uluzzian level EIII (Fig. 5). These bones were screened using %nitrogen methods56. The bones ranging from OxA-39972-41397 were identified as having reasonably intact collagen and subsequently dated. We aimed to date them using single amino acid analysis50; however, the collagen content following extraction was too low, and they were dated using the ultrafiltration protocol instead. For marine shell determinations, we used an undefined marine reservoir correction (or Delta_R) value (Delta_R("Undefined Local Marine",U(-500,500))). Usually, we would apply a Delta_R value using Reimer and Reimer57, along with the Marine20 calibration curve52, but the samples are extremely old and there are several assumptions involved, particularly in terms of temporal change in the local reservoir. We, therefore, allowed the Delta_R value to float, enabling the model to define the most likely value. Once again, the C_Date command was used to include the tephra Ar/Ar dates for the Y-6 and Y-5 ash layers. The Y-6 tephra sits36 towards the base of the model and marks the end of the Mousterian at Cavallo. Below it, we included two determinations from the Firenze laboratory58. We left OxA-21072 out of the model because it is a significantly underestimated result.

Fig. 5: Bayesian age model from the site of Cavallo.
figure 5

Green posterior probability distributions are determinations of marine shells. Outlier probabilities (O: posterior/prior) are given next to the date information. We increased the prior outlier probability for the bone determinations from EIII to 20%. There is one outlier of significance over and above this threshold (OxA-X-3125-16 at 58%) at this level. See text for details and caption to Fig. 3.

The EIII Uluzzian level is dated by eight AMS dates, five of which have some caveats in addition to higher-than-ideal standard errors. The four determinations denoted with OxA-X- prefixes had proportionally low collagen yields, ranging between 0.3 and 0.4%. A fifth determination (OxA-41397) gave a lower-than-expected carbon content on combustion (16.6%). This radiocarbon determination should be interpreted as a minimum age. We observe that a sixth determination, OxA-39972, a charcoal date treated with oxidation and stepped combustion approaches, gave an age of 38,110 ± 580 BP. These methods yield reliable AMS dates, so we see this measurement as accurate.

The model shows good agreement between the tephra ages and the radiocarbon results. There were three notable outliers. OxA-19257, a shell determination from phase DII15 yielded a posterior outlier probability of 100% and was, therefore, down-weighted in 100% of the runs of the model and can be discounted as an influence on the results of the Bayesian model. One of the bone determinations from EIII gave an elevated posterior outlier probability (49% for OxA-X- 3125-16). Future work will focus on attempting to date larger and better-preserved bone or teeth samples from this key level to explore whether there are any significant age shifts from what we have obtained in this paper. For the time being, we conclude that the age of the earliest Uluzzian is at least 42,650—42,150 cal BP at Cavallo but not older than 45,000 ± 1000 cal BP; that being the age of the Y-6 tephra, which acts as a terminus post quem in the model (c.f. ref. 36).

Grotta della Cala was a challenging site to date. We tested several bone samples using %nitrogen methods (Table 3) but, unfortunately, these were all very low (range 0.03—0.09% N), indicating no significant collagen or protein remaining. We also selected charcoal samples for analysis. One significant result we obtained was a date for a sample of charcoal from a concentration found in square C7 just below a hearth feature in that area. This sample belongs to the uppermost Aurignacian in the Cala Atrio sequence and sits in good agreement stratigraphically above an OSL date (X7042) that comes from spit 12 (Table 6). Together, the results suggest that the Aurignacian at Cala begins at 42,050—37,400 cal BP (95.4%), in broad agreement with the transition from the Uluzzian to the Protoaurignacian at Castelcivita. The Cala model is, however, affected by poor precision a posteriori (Fig. 6). Despite this, our results show that the Uluzzian is not as young as once seemed based on previous radiocarbon determinations; the Late Mousterian to Uluzzian sequence now sits temporally between 45,000–40,000 cal BP, rather than later. We estimate the start boundary of the Uluzzian here is 45,150—40,400 cal BP (at 68.3% prob.). This is consistent with the pattern established at the other sites, which are better dated.

Fig. 6: Bayesian model from Grotta della Cala.
figure 6

See text for details and caption to Fig. 3.

At Oscurusciuto, we obtained ten OSL dates and a single AMS determination (Fig. 7). Radiocarbon was again challenging due to the absence of recoverable charcoal from the sequence and the lack of collagen in any of the bones from the site. One sample of charcoal from stratigraphic unit 11 failed to yield any recoverable carbon after pretreatment. We included previous K-Ar dates from Mount Epomeo Green Tuff in stratigraphic unit 1447 in the Bayesian model we built. The OSL dates above them fall in their correct age order. One OSL measurement (X7050) is an outlier (86%), deemed to be too old for its position in stratigraphic unit 13. It is placed stratigraphically above the Mount Epomeo Green Tuff dates, which all cluster at 55,000 cal BP, so much depends on their reliability in terms of the outlier value detected for X7050. More work is needed. The previously obtained Beta Analytic AMS data that comes from the stratigraphic unit also has a 49% outlier probability. The sole AMS date we obtained came from stratigraphic unit 1 but yielded a “greater than” age (>41,600 BP) due to a lower-than-expected value for carbon on combustion. It is justifiably a minimum age, and we do not include it in the Bayesian model. Taken together, the Oscurusciuto model provides a robust sequence for the Mousterian at this important site. The absence of transitional layers (Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian) limits its importance in discussing the bio-cultural shift from Neanderthals to modern humans in this part of the world, however. In addition, the precision of the age estimates for the final Mousterian limits its importance in exploring the dates by which Neanderthal populations had disappeared in Italy (the age range for the end of stratigraphic unit 1 covers 42,950—34,400 cal BP at 95.4% prob., although the distribution for the end of stratigraphic unit 3 is bimodal, with most of the distribution sitting prior to 40,000 cal BP). For these reasons, the Oscurusciuto site is not discussed further in the synthesis of the results below.

Fig. 7: Age model from the site of Oscurusciuto.
figure 7

See text for details and caption to Fig. 3.

Discussion

The results presented in this paper represent the most extensive dating study yet of the Uluzzian and wider Middle to Upper Palaeolithic succession in Italy. The highest posterior distributions (HPDs) from important transitions in the different models we constructed can be compared to explore spatio-temporal patterns and answer questions of contemporaneity and first/last appearances of the different technocomplexes under study. Throughout this discussion we assume that the Mousterian technocomplex is exclusively related to Neanderthals and that the Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian are linked only with modern humans.

First, we compare HPDs from the final Mousterian boundaries. The analysis includes Cavallo and Castelcivita, as well as other Italian sites previously dated, including Riparo Mochi59, Grotta di Fumane6,60, Grotta di Rio Secco61, Riparo Broion62 and Grotta Reali63 (Fig. 8). Taken together, the results, based on tens of AMS determinations, appear in close agreement and are robust. We observe a high degree of overlap and similarity, which suggests that by ~43,000 cal BP the Mousterian had ended along the length of the peninsula, although at some sites (e.g., Rio Secco), the Mousterian occupation had seemingly ended significantly prior to this. The results strongly suggest a broadly contemporary end date for the Italian Mousterian (or abandonment of these sites by Neanderthals).

Fig. 8
figure 8

HPDs for end boundaries of the Mousterian at the sites studied (end boundaries from Riparo Mochi, Grotta di Fumane, Grotta di Rio Secco and Riparo Broion are included for comparison). Note that for Grotta Reali the Bayesian model of Peretto et al. (2020) does not contain any post-Mousterian constraint and has a wide range, so we use the Reali Date HPD from the final Mousterian level instead, and this is included in this model (Supplementary Information). The inset shows the final Mousterian boundary calculated (see text for details).

At Cavallo, the Y-6 tephra in layer Fa represents a well-defined terminus ante quem for the abandonment of the cave by Neandertals. This thin layer overlies the last Mousterian layer FI, separating it from layer Fs, which constitutes the base of the Uluzzian occupation. Stratigraphically, the chronological interval between the Late Mousterian and the Uluzzian corresponds to a depositional hiatus in sedimentation (see Supplementary Note 1). The dates from layer EIII suggest that the inception of the Uluzzian at Cavallo may have been younger than previously determined15 and thereby provide further confirmation of the stratigraphic evidence. This suggests that the Neanderthals left the site, and perhaps the wider area, prior to the arrival of H. sapiens represented by the Uluzzian. This can be tested with more well-dated and Bayesian-modelled sites, but on present evidence, it seems a robust conclusion. We calculated a probability distribution for the final Mousterian across the peninsula using the method of Higham et al.60, treating the individual model boundaries as prior distributions within a Phase. This yielded a final Mousterian HPD of 43,700—41,850 cal BP (at 95.4% prob.) (Fig. 8).

Next, we turn to the parts of the models representing the start boundaries for the Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian industries. These are summarised in Fig. 9. Only three Uluzzian HPDs are included. Although recent dates are available also from the Middle to Upper Palaeolithic deposit of Roccia San Sebastiano (Mondragone, Campania), these were not considered due to the identification of some mixing inside the Uluzzian layer of this site22,64. At Grotta di Fumane, in the A3 phase, some degree of post-depositional disturbances ab antiquo has also been recognised7,32,65, possibly caused by activities carried out by the Protoaurignacian inhabitants of layer A2. Chronological data from this level must, therefore, be treated with caution, at least until a thorough taphonomic and geoarchaeological revision of A3 assemblage is performed and new AMS and OSL age estimates are published.

Fig. 9
figure 9

HPDs for the end boundaries of the Mousterian (blue), the start boundaries of the Uluzzian (red) and the start boundaries of the Protoaurignacian (green). Sites are plotted in order from north to south. Note that the Castelcivita Uluzzian start boundary is esentially the same distribution as for the end of the Mousterian, which is why the two HPDs are very slightly offset from one another in the figure. Fumane data is from Higham et al. (2011), and Mochi data comes from Frouin et al. (2022). The Rio Secco data is after Talamo et al. (2014), Grotta Reali after Peretto et al. (2020) and Broion from Romandini et al. (2012).

We used the Order command in OxCal to determine the most likely order of events in the boundaries for the models built (Supplementary Data 7). At Castelcivita, the start of the Uluzzian coincides with the end of the Mousterian, so the distributions are the same. Our analysis shows that the Uluzzian at Castelcivita is earlier than at Cavallo (97.9% prob.), supporting the idea above of a gap in the Uluzzian occupation of Cavallo by H. sapiens following abandonment by, or disappearance of, Neanderthals. Alternatively, the earliest Uluzzian at Cavallo, which is so far not exhaustively dated, represents a slight underestimate of the real age.

We also compared the results with the Riparo Broion62 (Fig. 9). We found that the Uluzzian of Castelcivita was 77.1% likely to have started prior to the same phase in Broion, although the latter is less well-dated and more work is undoubtedly needed.

Overall, our modelling results suggest that the Uluzzian did not begin synchronously in the northern and southern parts of the peninsula. The current data suggests it appeared first in the south, although we caution that data from the north remains limited.

Another important question is whether there is any spatio-temporal pattern in the dispersal of the Protoaurignacian in the Italian Peninsula. Several scholars have suggested the potential movement of this technocomplex from north to south7,18, but there has never been sufficiently good enough data to test this. To explore this further, we compare HPDs for the Protoaurignacian from Fumane, Mochi, and Castelcivita (we left out Cala due to the imprecision of its HPD region) (Fig. 9). We observe a cline in the HPDs, such that the earliest HPD from Mochi appears in the north and then significantly later, in the south, at Castelcivita. In statistical terms, the Protoaurignacian HPD from Mochi is significantly earlier than Castelcivita. Our Order analysis confirms that Mochi is 98.9% likely to pre-date Castelcivita and Fumane is 68.1% likely to pre-date Castelcivita. This suggests that the Protoaurignacian begins in the north, earlier, and then appears later in the south. Interestingly, the data also shows that in the south of the peninsula the Uluzzian persists, in the absence of the Protoaurignacian, until much later. This agrees with previous observations of modelled data from these sites40. At Castelcivita, for example, where the record is the most reliable, the Uluzzian/Protoaurignacian boundary is 41,770— 39,940 cal BP.

We also used the Date command to explore the total range in the dates for the three main technocomplexes across all sites. These are shown in Fig. 10. The results essentially support what we observed above. There is a degree of overlap between the earliest Protoaurignacian in the north of Italy with the latest Uluzzian in the south. We compare the date ranges with models built using the KDE_Model (Kernel Density Estimate) approach in OxCal66 (Fig. 10). The KDE_Model results show that across Italy the Uluzzian centres just prior to 42,200 cal BP from 43,120—41,370 cal BP (at 68.2% prob.) and 44,580—39,790 cal BP (at 95.4%). Our study also allows us to constrain the length of the Uluzzian within more precise chronological limits, showing that this technocomplex lasted just over 2000 years in total, prior to the makers of the industry being assimilated/replaced by bearers of the Protoaurignacian technocomplex, as is hinted by the occurrence of Aurignacian-like lithic elements (marginally backed bladelets, Aurignacian blades, carinated artefacts and unretouched bladelets from lamellar production strategies) at Cala and in layers D of Cavallo and rsa” of Castelcivita7,43,67.

Fig. 10
figure 10

Date ranges for the key sites in Italy, below are the stacked KDE_Models we built for comparison on an Italian-wide scale. Once more, the Mousterian is blue, the Uluzzian red and the Protoaurignacian green. In the KDE_Model at the bottom, the green distribution includes both Proto- and Early Aurignacian determinations.

A chronostratigraphic gap between the Late Mousterian and the Uluzzian is supported by the techno-typological characteristics of the Uluzzian lithic suite in which no filiation from the Mousterian is discernable7. Defining relationships between the Uluzzian and the Aurignacian is more challenging because data from the stratigraphic record and the lithic industry seem, in some cases, to conflict. We have evidence of a sedimentological discontinuity in sites like la Fabbrica and La Cala, but by contrast, we note the occurrence of Aurignacian-like lithic elements in the latest Uluzzian layers of Cavallo, Cala and Castelcivita, which could hint at cultural interactions and perhaps an assimilation process of the Uluzzian by the Protoaurignacian, instead of a mere replacement. The assimilation process is further supported by the frequent adoption of bipolar technology, a prominent characteristic of the Uluzzian, in the subsequent Proto and Early Aurignacian phases in southern Italy. Interestingly, bipolar technology is notably scarce or even absent in Aurignacian sites across northern Italy67. To date, sites containing the Uluzzian—Protoaurignacian succession are too few to provide a reliable picture, and it is possible that both replacement and assimilation could be considered valid at a local scale.

To help visualise the data, we built spatio-temporal maps (Fig. 11), which show the distribution of the KDE timespans for the various industries across time and space.

Fig. 11
figure 11

Spatio-temporal mapping of the Mousterian→Uluzzian→Aurignacian timespans in the Italian Peninsula, in the interval 45,000–40,000 BP. The data was generated using OxCal’s KDE_Model approach. The circles indicate the variations of the KDE values at the selected time slice. Blue circles are the Mousterian, green circles are the Aurignacian and red are the Uluzzian. Note that for Riparo Broion, we did not include the Uluzzian because there is only one determination, which is not sufficient for KDE modelling. The paleogeographic maps were generated using ArcGIS®10.8. Source of the Digital Elevation Model: EU-DEM. Source of the Bathymetry: EMODNET.

Moroni et al.68,69 proposed two potential migration routes for humans bearing Uluzzian technology into the peninsula. The first route suggested a direct passage across the Otranto channel, from Greece to Apulia, while the second proposed a path along the Adriatic coast of the Balkans, crossing just above the Conero Promontory (south of modern-day Ancona) during MIS3 and spreading from there. The Otranto route, despite the challenges of sea crossings, was considered to harmonise with the initial emergence of the Uluzzian in Apulia ~45,000 years ago, which the dating then showed.

The chronometric data presented here appears to favor the Otranto route, but we cannot rule out the possibility of two different dispersal pathways, and we remain open to the possibility that more data from the north (e.g., Fumane) might change the picture significantly.

A different scenario emerges, however, regarding the dispersal of the Protoaurignacian. This industry appears first in the northwest of the peninsula at the Riparo Mochi site, ca 42,000 years ago, at a time when the Uluzzian still persisted in the south. The delayed appearance of the Protoaurignacian is particularly evident at Castelcivita, and notably at Cavallo, where Protoaurignacian layers are entirely absent. Although possible evidence of Protoaurignacian occupations, stratigraphically overlapping the Uluzzian deposit, has been identified at the nearby site of Serra Cicora, the absence of chronological and revised archaeological data there poses a challenge70,71.

The temporal overlap of Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian groups raises questions regarding whether these industries were made by a single human population, or different groups. Recent genetic evidence for the earliest Homo sapiens groups in Europe from sites such as Peştera cu Oase, Bacho Kiro, Zlatý kůň, and Ust-Ishim has shown that there were several distinct populations of modern humans across the early Upper Palaeolithic of Eurasia72,73,74,75. Hajdinjak et al.74 have suggested that successive waves of population replacement might have occurred during the Middle to Upper Palaeolithic in Europe (see also Vallini et al.75). It is possible that the Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian industries in the Italian Peninsula might too have been produced by different human populations. Alternatively, they may reflect variations in the adaptative strategies of a single human population across different geographical regions. Finally, the coexistence of mixed groups or hybrid populations cannot be ruled out. The recovery of ancient DNA from human remains found in Uluzzian contexts would be a key step in resolving these alternatives and exploring the intricate dynamics of human migrations and cultural exchanges during this period76.

Summing up, in this work we have obtained a suite of AMS and OSL determinations from four archaeological sites in Italy dating to the Middle to Upper Palaeolithic period. Bayesian models show strong convergence and robust results, with few, if any, outliers of significance. AMS and OSL chronometric results harmonise in excellent agreement, something that is not often seen in archaeological dating77. The results allow us to compare key boundaries in the models marking the end of the Mousterian, as well as the start dates of the Uluzzian and Protoaurignacian across the Italian Peninsula and thereby interpret a fine-grained chronology. We observe that there is a broad synchroneity in the date estimates for the disappearance of the Mousterian. The date of the earliest Uluzzian is somewhat younger than previously seen60, due mainly to the updated IntCal20 calibration curve53. Rather than starting shortly after ~45,000 cal BP, as previously suggested40,60, it dates instead from 43,120—41,370 cal BP (at 68.2% prob.) and 44,580—39,790 cal BP (at 95.4%). Although data is limited, the results suggest a slightly earlier emergence of the Uluzzian in the south. This despite the significant homogeneity and strong identity of the Uluzzian across Italy and Greece in terms of the material culture and ornaments identified18,19,20,25. There is a hint that in Uluzzo Bay there is a slightly later onset, but this may be masked by challenges with the dating of the earliest EIII levels at Cavallo. This is something that we continue to work on. We also see evidence that there may have been a reduction in Neanderthal populations—in the sense that they most probably left the area—prior to the spread of the Uluzzian in the region. At Cavallo, for example, the Uluzzian occupation commenced only after the deposition of the Y-6 tephra, providing a terminus post quem for the start of this technocomplex. The wider evidence suggests that early Homo sapiens groups dispersing into the Italian Peninsula around 42,500 years ago probably encountered few, if any, local Neanderthals.

Methods

Permission and support for fieldwork in Apulia and Campania was obtained from the Soprintendenza Archeologia, Belle Arti e Paesaggio per le Province di Salerno e Avellino, Soprintendenza Archeologia, Belle Arti e Paesaggio per le Province di Brindisi e Lecce and Soprintendenza Nazionale per il Patrimonio Culturale Subacqueo. Excavations were conducted under permission of MiC (MIC|MIC_DG-ABAP_SERV II_UO1|07/06/2021|0019224-P| [34.61.07/1.15.1/2019]; MIC|MIC_DG-ABAP_SERVII_|30/09/2021|0032649-P| [34.61.07/1.14.1/2019] and DG-ABAP 20/06/2022 decreto 809). Please see Supplementary Note 2 for excluded sites.

Three main factors make the radiocarbon dating part of this project possible. First, the publication of the new IntCal20 calibration curve extends the range of calibration back to 55,000 cal BP53. IntCal20 has higher resolution data, particularly for the earlier parts of the timescale, and was constructed using a new statistical method78, enabling improved comparison against climate and other independent records79. Second, state-of-the-art sample preparation approaches for both radiocarbon and OSL, as well as increased AMS measurement precision, have enabled significant improvements over existing chronologies6,50. Thirdly, the application of Bayesian modelling has had major impacts for both radiocarbon-specific models, as well as those including other methods, such as OSL, and cross-linked with tephra markers (as shown here). Chronometric models enable higher precision chronologies to be built, as well as inform us of the likelihood of outlying determinations.

Radiocarbon and luminescence dating methods were used at Castelcivita, Cala, and Oscurusciuto, while only radiocarbon dating was possible at Cavallo. Based on the results obtained, Bayesian models were built.

Radiocarbon dating

All radiocarbon dating was undertaken at the ORAU at the University of Oxford, UK. We used several methods to pretreat the samples prior to radiocarbon dating. For charcoal samples, we applied oxidation/stepped combustion methods. Charcoal was chemically pretreated using a variation of the usual acid-base-wet oxidation/stepped combustion (ABOx-SC) protocol we employ for dating ancient Palaeolithic charcoal80,81. A modified protocol (AOx-SC) eliminates the base step82. These methods have been shown to remove contaminants from Palaeolithic-aged charcoal much more efficiently than the routine acid-base-acid (ABA) protocols, with less sample loss. We have observed that AMS dates of these materials using this type of approach are often significantly older5,39,80,83,84,85,86,87,88.

Bone samples were AMS-dated using the ORAU protocol for bone collagen extraction89. The ultrafilters were pre-cleaned before use90. We also used a single compound approach (targeting HYP) from a limited number of samples50.

At Cavallo, samples were collected from a small trench excavation (50 × 30 cm) carried out in 2019 in the undisturbed Uluzzian deposit (Supplementary Information Fig S1). Shell carbonates from the Cavallo site (Gambassini’s excavations) were treated prior to AMS dating using the methods outlined in ref. 15.

At Castelcivita, we undertook field and laboratory-based sampling of carbonaceous material for the radiocarbon part of the project. We sampled in the field from the current excavations of the Aurignacian areas of the site, as well as from the main section (for Protoaurignacian, Uluzzian, and Mousterian). Four samples were directly taken from a hearth in layer gic (squares L11-L12), which was recently attributed to an Early Aurignacian phase91. We identified samples of charcoal and bone from beneath the flowstone levels of the main section, down to -220 cm below the datum. Unfortunately, a total of 14 samples failed to yield any radiocarbon dates due to low or no carbon yields after pretreatment (Supplementary Data 3).

Following pretreatment, chemistry samples for radiocarbon dating were combusted using a PDZ-Europa Robo-Prep biological sample converter (combustion elemental analyzer) coupled to a PDZ-Europa 20/20 mass spectrometer operating in continuous flow mode using a Helium carrier gas. This enables δ15N and δ13C, nitrogen and carbon content, as well as C: N atomic ratios to be measured. We used VPDB as the standard for the δ13C measurements and AIR for the δ15N values. Graphite was produced by reacting the sample CO2 over an iron catalyst in an excess H2 atmosphere at 560 °C. AMS radiocarbon measurement was carried out using the ORAU 2.5MV HVEE accelerator and, after 2020, using an IonPlus MiCaDaS. In Supplementary Data 25, we report the data for failed samples and analytical data from the radiocarbon work.

Optically stimulated luminescence dating

Sampling and preparation

All samples for luminescence dating were selected on-site under controlled conditions (Supplementary Note 3). The samples and their contexts are given in Table 6.

Laboratory sample preparation involved the extraction of coarse quartz grains (180–255 µm) through wet sieving, hydrochloric acid (10%), and then hydrogen peroxide (30% for 72 h) digestions, heavy liquid density separations (sodium polytungstate solutions at 2.70 g cm−3 and 2.62 g cm−3), etching with hydrofluoric acid (40%) for 60 min, and finally washing with concentrated hydrochloric acid. The purified quartz-rich fraction was sieved and mounted on stainless steel cups using silicon oil as aliquots of ~4 mm diameter (for Castelcivita and Oscurusciuto samples) or ~2 mm (for Cala samples).

Optical measurements were conducted on an automated Lexsyg research device at the LDL Research Laboratory for Archaeology and the History of Art (RLAHA) at the University of Oxford and further completed on a standard OSL/TL Risø device at the Luminescence Dating Research Laboratory at Stony Brook University. The Lexsyg research device was equipped with a 90Sr/90Y ring-shaped irradiation source delivering ca. 0.068 ± 0.001 Gy s-1 at the sample position (calibrated using Risø calibration quartz batch 98 and corrected using the factor from ref. 92). The quartz was stimulated with blue LEDs emitting at 470 ± 30 nm covered by a long pass filter (3 mm Schott GG420). The resulting optically stimulated luminescence (OSL) signal was detected by a PMT (Hamamatsu H7360-02) through an optical filter (7.7 mm Hoya U-340; transmission between ~290–370 nm). The absence of feldspars was checked for all the samples with a near-infra-red stimulation using LEDs emitting at 850 ± 30 nm, and the luminescence signal was detected through a combination of 3 mm of Schott BG39 and 3.5 mm of AHF BrightLine HC 414/46 nm, giving a detection window centred on 410 nm.

Additional measurements were performed on an OSL/TL Risø-DA-20 equipped with a 90Sr/90Y source delivering ca. 0.106 ± 0.003 Gy s−1 (calibrated using Risø calibration quartz batch 123 and corrected using the factor from ref. 92) to the material deposited in the discs. The quartz OSL signal was stimulated with blue LEDs emitting at 470 ± 20 nm. The resulting luminescence signals were collected by an EMI 9235 QA photomultiplier tube through a combination of optical filters (Schott BG3/Schott BG39). All measurements were performed in a nitrogen atmosphere.

Dosimetry

The doses of radiation to which the grains have been submitted during their burial originate from the decay of natural radioelements (mainly from the U and Th-series and from K) emitting ionising particles (alpha, beta, and gamma) in the surrounding sediments and by cosmic rays.

As the quartz grains were etched, no alpha dose contribution was considered. The beta dose rates were calculated from the K, U, and Th contents measured on a portion of sediment by ICP/MS and ICP/AES, considering the conversion factors of Guérin et al.93 and the grain size attenuation factors of ref. 94. In Supplementary Note 3, we discuss the different approaches to dose rate calculation by site. The total dose rates (Supplementary Data 6) were calculated using the Dose Rate Calculator v1.2 developed by Durcan et al.95.

Paleogeographic reconstruction

For an improved contextualisation of the appearance/diffusion process of the Protoaurignacian and Uluzzian technocomplexes (and their relation with the Mousterian), we built a spatio-temporal series with paleogeographic maps for each 1000-year time-slice, from 45,000 to 40,000 BP. We used the OxCal4.3.3 model results and ArcGIS® 10.8, merging the EuroDEM (European Digital Elevation Model) and the EMODNET (European Marine Observation and Data Network) of the Mediterranean. The relative sea-levels (RSL) with the confidence intervals for each time slice have been derived from ref. 96. A raster calculator function has been adopted to modify the pixel values of the digital elevation models, according to the expected RSL of each time-slice (e.g., ref. 97).

Reporting summary

Further information on research design is available in the Nature Portfolio Reporting Summary linked to this article.