Research articles

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  • Greenhouse-gas payback times are derived for biofuel production systems using five feedstocks under high- and low-input farm management to assess replacement of natural vegetation with crop-based biofuels. Estimates ranged from 1–162 years.

    • P. M. F. Elshout
    • R. van Zelm
    • M. A. J. Huijbregts
    Article
  • Climate change is expected to exacerbate absenteeism as a result of heat stress, with ramifications for labour productivity. Reduced work performance in 2013–2014 in Australia was found to represent an economic burden of around US$6.2 billion.

    • Kerstin K. Zander
    • Wouter J. W. Botzen
    • Stephen T. Garnett
    Letter
  • The results of an online survey of UK consumers suggest that achieving desired energy efficiencies and savings through demand-side management aimed at changing behaviour and encouraging uptake of energy-efficient technologies will not be easy.

    • Alexa Spence
    • Christina Demski
    • Nick Pidgeon
    Letter
  • A manipulation experiment, combined with reconstructed evolutionary history from a dormant egg bank found in recent lake sediments, reveals that water fleas (Daphnia) can exhibit a rapid increase in their capacity to tolerate higher temperatures.

    • A. N. Geerts
    • J. Vanoverbeke
    • L. De Meester
    Letter
  • Physiological changes associated with dwarfing in two marine molluscs that are adapted to acidified seawater at shallow CO2 seeps help the animals keep their shells intact. Such changes may have helped species to survive past mass extinction events.

    • Vittorio Garilli
    • Riccardo Rodolfo-Metalpa
    • Marco Milazzo
    Letter
  • A major question in fisheries science is how fish will respond to climatic warming. Research shows that future distributions of commercially important fish species in the North Sea will be overwhelmingly constrained by non-thermal habitat variables.

    • Louise A. Rutterford
    • Stephen D. Simpson
    • Martin J. Genner
    Letter
  • Although the correlation between greenhouse gases and temperature is well documented, it is difficult to show causality from the data. This study uses insight from dynamical systems theory to show that internal Earth system mechanisms largely control climate dynamics, rather than orbital forcing, and temperature does have a reinforcing feedback on greenhouse-gas concentrations.

    • Egbert H. van Nes
    • Marten Scheffer
    • George Sugihara
    Letter
  • The IPCC Fifth Assessment Report revised estimates of equilibrium climate sensitivity as a result of the ongoing warming hiatus. This study investigates how accumulating observations affect climate sensitivity estimates and finds that although there is a small downwards adjustment in the sensitivity, the lower bound of the 90% range is unchanged.

    • Daniel J. A. Johansson
    • Brian C. O’Neill
    • Olle Häggström
    Letter
  • Vegetation change is a key component of the carbon cycle, but quantifying these changes is challenging. Research using passive microwave observations now provides global estimates for forest and non-forest biomass trends over the past two decades.

    • Yi Y. Liu
    • Albert I. J. M. van Dijk
    • Guojie Wang
    Letter
  • Climate change enhances root exudation of organic compounds into soils and can lead to loss of soil carbon. Research now shows that oxalic acid (a common exudate) releases organic compounds from protective mineral associations.

    • Marco Keiluweit
    • Jeremy J. Bougoure
    • Markus Kleber
    Article
  • The media uses specific language to report scientific knowledge to various audiences. A study focused on broadcast, newspapers and twitter reporting of the IPCC Fifth Assessment Report shows that coverage and framing of the Report was influenced by its sequential three-part structure and by the availability of accessible narratives and visuals.

    • Saffron O’Neill
    • Hywel T. P. Williams
    • Maxwell Boykoff
    Article
  • Cooling has been observed over the past century in the northern Atlantic, and this study presents multiple lines of evidence that suggest it may be a result of a reduction in the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation. The decrease in this circulation, particularly after 1970, seems to be unprecedented in the past millennium and melt from the Greenland Ice Sheet may be a contributing factor.

    • Stefan Rahmstorf
    • Jason E. Box
    • Erik J. Schaffernicht
    Article