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Energy requirements for decent living in India, Brazil and South Africa

Abstract

For over 30 years, researchers have tried to estimate how much energy societies require to provide for everyone’s basic needs. This question gains importance with climate change, because global scenarios of climate stabilization assume strong reductions in energy demand growth in developing countries. Here, we estimate bottom-up the energy embodied in the material underpinnings of decent living standards for India, Brazil and South Africa. We find that our estimates fall within these countries’ energy demand projections in global scenarios of climate stabilization at 2 °C, but to different extents. Further, national policies that encourage public transportation and sustainable housing construction will be critical to reduce these energy needs. The results of this study offer a benchmark to compare countries’ mitigation efforts and technology transfer arrangements to assess the extent to which they address development priorities in an equitable manner.

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Fig. 1: Gaps in decent living standards.
Fig. 2: Energy requirements.
Fig. 3: Construction energy requirements.
Fig. 4: Operational energy requirements.
Fig. 5: Comparison of energy demand scenarios.

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Data Availability

The data that support the plots within this paper and other findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. Publicly available data used in the analysis include nationally representative household consumption expenditure surveys in India50, Brazil51 and South Africa52, and the Ecoinvent 3 (ref. 53) and EXIOBASE 3 (ref. 40) databases. Further details available in Supplementary Note 4.

Code Availability

The code used to manipulate the data and generate the results is available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

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Acknowledgements

The authors were supported by European Research Council Starting Grant 637462.

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N.D.R. designed the study; N.D.R., J.M. and A.M. conducted the analysis and wrote the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Narasimha D. Rao.

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Supplementary Information

Supplementary methods, Figures 1–8, Tables 1–25, Notes 1–4 and refs. 1–67.

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Rao, N.D., Min, J. & Mastrucci, A. Energy requirements for decent living in India, Brazil and South Africa. Nat Energy 4, 1025–1032 (2019). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41560-019-0497-9

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