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Resolving the high-energy neutrino sky at 3σ

Identifying the sources of high-energy cosmic neutrinos has been a challenge. Considering frequentist and Bayesian arguments, as well as the special conditions found in neutrino astronomy, we discuss whether to believe current 3σ observations.

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Fig. 1: Degree of belief as a function of P value, completeness, signalness and the source class fraction.

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Acknowledgements

I am thankful to I. Bartos, A. Caldwell, F. Capel, J. Conrad, C. Finley, G. Hill and J. van Santen for valuable discussions and comments on the manuscript.

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Correspondence to Marek Kowalski.

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Kowalski, M. Resolving the high-energy neutrino sky at 3σ. Nat Astron 5, 732–734 (2021). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41550-021-01431-y

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