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Volume 580 Issue 7804, 23 April 2020

Fire and rain

The cover shows lava flow on Kīlauea volcano in Hawaii during the rift eruption in 2018. In this week’s issue, Jamie Farquharson and Falk Amelung present modelling evidence that the massive outpouring of lava might have been prompted by extreme rainfall. Although it is known that rainfall can modulate shallow volcanic activity, it has been unclear if it can exert influence at the greater depths associated with magma movement. The researchers propose that the unusually heavy rainfall during the months before the 2018 eruption infiltrated the volcano’s subsurface, increasing the pressure exerted by groundwater to a 50-year high. This would have weakened the rock, creating fractures and allowing magma to rise up at new locations, ultimately precipitating the eruption. Farquharson and Amelung reviewed the history of Kīlauea’s eruptions since 1790 and found that around 60% of them occurred during the wettest parts of the year. They suggest that a better understanding of the potential coupling of rainfall and volcanism could improve forecasts of volcanic activity.

Cover image: US Geological Survey

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