We assessed climatic and productivity trends across the world’s five Mediterranean forest ecosystems and detected large-scale, abrupt forest browning in Chile. Extreme dry and warm conditions in Chile, unprecedented in the recent history of all Mediterranean-type ecosystems, are projected to arise in the second half of this century.
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References
IPCC. Climate Change 2021: The Physical Science Basis. Contribution of Working Group I to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC, 2021). This document reports climate projections.
Garreaud, R. D., Clem, K. & Veloso, J. V. The South Pacific pressure trend dipole and the southern blob. J. Clim. 34, 7661–7676 (2021). This paper reports the climate dynamics underlying the megadrought in Chile.
Miranda, A. et al. Forest browning trends in response to drought in a highly threatened Mediterranean landscape of South America. Ecol. lndic. 115, 106401 (2020). This paper reveals the initial effects of drought on Chilean sclerophyllous forests.
Berdugo, M. et al. Global ecosystem thresholds driven by aridity. Science 367, 787–790 (2020). A review that presents proposed ecosystem thresholds in response to escalating aridity.
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This is a summary of: Miranda, A. et al. Widespread synchronous decline of Mediterranean-type forest driven by accelerated aridity. Nat. Plants, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41477-023-01541-7 (2023).
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Climate-induced largescale browning in Chilean Mediterranean forest. Nat. Plants 9, 1785–1786 (2023). https://doi.org/10.1038/s41477-023-01546-2
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DOI: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41477-023-01546-2