Geophys. Res. Lett. 34, L19703 doi:10.1029/2007GL031018 (2007)

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Removal of carbon dioxide directly from the atmosphere is essential for combating climate change, suggests a new study. Most efforts to mitigate global warming focus on reducing emissions of greenhouse gases, most notably CO2. But that in itself will not be enough, say scientists.

A team led by Andrew Weaver at the University of Victoria in Canada used a well-tested climate model of the oceans and atmosphere to simulate CO2 emissions and global temperature over the next 500 years. They found that unless emissions are reduced by more than 40% over the next 40 years, the Earth will warm by more than 2 °C this century, breaching the temperature threshold beyond which many scientists think there will be dangerous consequences. Even if CO2 emissions were stabilised to a tenth of current levels, temperatures would rise by more than 2 °C eventually. This suggests that nothing short of active removal of CO2 from the atmosphere is necessary to avoid unmanageable warming.

Capture and sequestration of CO2 directly from the atmosphere is not yet viable on a large scale. But this latest research suggests the need to develop artificial carbon sequestration methods, and fast.